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Date: Thursday, February 19, 2009
Honourable Speaker and Esteemed Members of this august House: It has been my privilege over recent years to be summoned annually at around this time to appear before this House, to present to you the budgetary plans of this government. Today, we have the opportunity to contemplate, take stock of our achievements, challenges, and to appraise our prospects on the economic front, as a country in general and a province in particular. Honourable Speaker, It is more than just a time for detailing planned expenditure. It is more than just a time for looking back and of taking stock. It is also a time for assessing our joint efforts in managing our economy, and for asking pertinently whether or not our joint efforts in this province are indeed contributing towards a better life for all. Although our resources are limited, our imagination, our vision
and our collective energy as the people of the North West are unlimited.
In difficult economic times as we are now facing, these are amongst
our most important resources to draw upon. Therefore, in the current days of economic and financial turmoil, and of uncertainty, where on a daily basis we are confronted with yet more dire predictions, threats and growing hardship, let us gather and lift ourselves up and beyond the present fray and let us gather and clarify for ourselves and our Province a sense of clear direction through the storm. The task of leadership with which we are encumbered, demands nothing less of us. Honorable Speaker, According to Faye Wattleton, the famous African-American humanist and champion for women’s rights, says, “The only safe ship in a storm is leadership.” With the important provision that, “Whoever is providing leadership needs to be as fresh and thoughtful and reflective as possible to make the very best fight.” We have come too far as a young nation, and as a province, not to put up a good fight in light of the current economic downturn and despair which threaten us. In putting up the fight against global threats, real or imagined, and in fighting the economic downturn and despair, we will be continuing and intensifying the good fight: the fight for a better life for all, the fight against poverty, the fight against inequality, the fight against hunger, the fight against joblessness, the fight against HIV and AIDS and the fight against other preventable diseases. We cannot embark on the very best fight if we don’t start by reflecting on recent dramatic events in the world economy. Overview of the Global Economy Honourable Speaker, economic events in 2008 were truly dramatic, unprecedented in the existence of this august House. We are in uncertain economic times, and some have even raised the specter of the Great Depression of the 1930s. In 2008, we experienced one wave after another hit our economic shores, from very high oil prices, to spikes in the cost of food, to the credit crunch in the West. And in the background of these crises remain the growing global concern about climate change and about our fast diminishing options to limit its impact. The cause of the current financial and economic crisis is rather simple. The US economy was already back in 2001 approaching a recession when the terror attacks of 9/11 occurred. In the wake of these attacks the US embarked on very expansionary monetary and fiscal policies. Interest rates in the US were lowered no less than 37 times between 2001 and 2003. Money became cheap and easy. At the same time, against the backdrop of a decade of deregulation of the financial sector and rapid innovation in financial derivatives, huge amounts of loans were made to households in the subprime mortgage category, in essence to households with limited means to service and repay their loans. These subprime mortgage loans were securitized and sold to various investors in the financial markets, across the world. By 2007, as more and more households started to default on their mortgage repayments, home foreclosures took on rising proportions in the US, it was clear that not only were institutions in the US set up to guarantee mortgage debt in difficulty (such as Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac), but that the securitized subprime mortgages were without an underlying value. Moreover, these ‘toxic’ assets were spread throughout the financial system and it is still a problem to locate these. In September 2008 the US government had to nationalize Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac, and soon after the investment bank Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, triggering widespread financial panic, which also spread to European countries, most notably Britain. Stock markets plummeted wiping out trillions of dollars in assets. This further reduced the solvency of many financial firms. The investment banking industry in the US was all but wiped out.
In response the US and European countries have put together huge bailout packages for financial and in some instances other firms – these would likely exceed 2 trillion US dollars. They also reduced interest rates to historical lows, undertook to expand fiscal expenditure, and took various other measures to improve liquidity in their banking systems. But the eradication of so much financial wealth, the contraction in credit, the hesitancy of investors to put their money in anything but the safest havens, and the slump in consumer expenditure were already realities. By the end of 2008 both the US and many EU countries were in recession. Now, economic growth in the rest of the world, particularly in developing countries, including South Africa is also threatened. Honourable Speaker, There are various channels through which the financial crisis and ensuing economic crisis in the US is and will affect developing countries. One is through direct financial contagion, where we have seen stock markets across the developing world fall steeply, and through throwing developing countries banks into solvency crises. Another is through the reduction in financial flows to developing countries, including aid, remittances, and foreign direct investments. The third is through a reduction in the demand for exports from developing countries, and an accompanying drop in the prices of commodities. Honourable Speaker, South Africa has been, and still is to some degree, being affected by all three of these channels. Overview of the South African Economy We have seen our stock market plummet in September and October
of last year- by up to 40 per cent. We have seen some of our banks
come under stress. We have also seen reductions in both portfolio flows and direct
foreign investments to South Africa, and this, coupled with our
deficit on our current account with the rest of the world, led
to a sharp depreciation of the Rand in the last quarter of 2008. But, Honourable Speaker, we should not despair. A silver lining is that the depreciated Rand contributes to the greater competitiveness of South African goods. At the same time the price of fuel has come down considerably, further alleviating pressure on our balance of payments and domestic inflation rate.
Although commodity prices have fallen, the medium to long-term prospects for most of commodities look favorable, in particular for the North West Province as I will mention again later, for commodities such as platinum, gold and grains. So, let us consider the impact of these events on the South African economy. We know that over the past ten years the South African economy has grown at unprecedented rates. Indeed, it is a peculiar fact that we have experienced a ten year period of uninterrupted growth punctuated on both sides by a financial crisis. The first was the Asian Crisis of 1998, during which the South African economy actually contracted. The second is the recent 2008 crisis. Between 1998 and 2008 the South African economy achieved an average
quarterly growth rate in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 3.5 per
cent. Between 2004 and 2008, the most recent period, corresponding
to the term of the current government, growth accelerated to a
quarterly average of 4.8 per cent. We can celebrate this good growth not only due to the positive impact it has had on reducing poverty and creating employment opportunities, but also because it strengthened the underlying resilience of our economy. By the time the financial crisis became apparent in 2008; our economy was in good shape. It was also well managed, and we had ample space to maneuver on the fiscal and monetary side. As a result, we did not see a contraction in our economy, as many other countries had experienced. Indeed, during the first three quarters of 2008 the South African economy continued to grow at 3.7 per cent, above the ten year average. More than 110,000 new jobs were created. But by the third quarter of 2008 this growth had slowed to 0.2 per cent. Although, such low growth rates remain unacceptable, I need to point out that unlike the much milder Asian Crisis of 1998, we have not yet suffered a contraction in our economy, due to our economy being much more robust now, after a decade of good macro-economic governance by this ANC-led government. And indeed, despite the often pessimistic prognoses for the global economy for 2009, I remain confident that we can overcome the worst and return this economy onto a higher growth path in the near future. This government is committed to the fight against poverty, and has illustrated this readiness again in the current circumstances. Thus, Honourable Speaker, when private consumption, for long the main driver of economic growth in our economy, dropped in 2008, government investment spending continued to provide a much needed stimulus. It should be noted that despite the documented slowdown in 2008, growth in government employment in fact accelerated from 3.3 per cent in the first quarter to 5.5 per cent in the second quarter. And that government investment spending, which grew significantly by 16 per cent in 2007, continued to grow by about 10 per cent in 2008. This stimulating role of government will remain in place over the foreseeable future, as was also indicated by Minister Manuel in his medium term expenditure framework. Our 2009 National Budget makes provision for a greater deficit, as it would be appropriate of counter-cyclical policy in a downturn. In framing this budget, Minister Manuel was guided by five principles: protecting the poor Honourable Speaker, also on the monetary front we have seen rate cuts, and the prognosis looks favorable in the future, as all expectations are that inflation is on a downward trajectory. What gives us further confidence is that it is expected that important trading partners such as China and India will indeed continue to grow at relatively high rates.
Honourable Speaker, while it is commendable that our national economy has achieved remarkable economic growth rates over the past ten years, and while it is encouraging to note that we may withstand the worst of the current financial and economic crisis on a macro-economic level, it remains the case, as I have indeed documented often in disturbing detail in my previous budget speeches, that poverty, unemployment and inequality remain our foremost challenges on a micro-level. And it is on this micro-level where the provincial perspective becomes important. For, it is first and foremost, where people reside where government should support their efforts at improving the quality of their lives. It is where government should have its ears on the ground, and tailor its expenditure plans in such a way, as to address people’s concerns, and give support to people’s visions and dreams. How did the North West perform in 2008? Achievements Honourable Speaker, having described our provincial economic performance of this past year, what are our assessment of the years ahead? Let me emphasize that I remain optimistic that this province has the combination of human resources, natural resources, location, climate and basic infrastructure to result in it being one of the best places in the world to live. But, despite this optimistic vision, I remain aware of the development challenges we keep facing. These challenges have substantially and significantly influenced the budget being presented here today. I believe, that this government is acutely aware of the magnitude of the challenges that we face. And therefore, knowing where we started out in 1994, I can say without great fear of contradiction, that we have come a long way. We have multiple needs and limited financial resources. Responsible leadership does not however, pander to populism. Responsible leadership offers over time the only sustainable way of leading people out of poverty. Honourable Speaker, indeed, the World Bank’s “Growth Report” released in 2008 studied the secrets of success of the 13 fastest growing countries in recent history, all countries which maintained growth rates in excess of 7 per cent per annum for at least 25 years. This report emphasized the importance of good and responsible leadership in all these countries. Moreover, given the North-West’s performance and challenges as described here and in previous speeches, it is instructive to list the five characteristics which the Growth Report identified as common to all the fastest growing countries.
One, that these countries all exploited the world economy. They did not choose isolation and they did not fear foreign competition. In my view, the North West economy shares this characteristic. We are in a country which has liberalized its trade regime, and which has embraced integration with the world economy. Our province was one of the first to explicitly recognize the importance of attracting foreign investment and boosting trade. Our provincial investment promotion agency, Invest North West, is nationally and internationally recognized for its sterling promotion of this province. It has won many international awards. Its board and its executive has always been an outstanding example of the visionary qualities of leadership in this province. We continue to forge economic partnerships with many regions and countries, led vigorously in this regard by the Honourable Premier. As a province rich in tourism offerings, our doors are open to welcome visitors from across the world. Even though we face a likely reduction in foreign tourists as a result of the global economic slowdown, I am still excited by the many good prospects in store for our tourism sector, not least the 2009 Confederations Cup in June and 2010 FIFA World Cup Soccer coming up next year. The second characteristic of successful countries is that they have maintained macro-economic stability. Honourable Speaker, again the North West Province shares this characteristic. Indeed, in North West, as in South Africa as a whole, macro-economic stability has been a defining feature of the past decade. Many in the past have criticized this government’s insistence of fiscal discipline, calling for more profligate spending, and for throwing caution out the window. We see now, in these times of external turmoil, that the government’s insistence on macro-economic stability has been the correct one. A third characteristic of the fastest growing countries is that all have maintained high rates of savings and investments. Here, Honourable Speaker of the House, our performance is less commendable. Our province (and our country) does not save enough. Our investment needs are huge – and as I have pointed out, in recent years this government’s investment spending has started to grow. We need continued investment from this source in future for investment in electricity, in roads, and also in social infrastructure such as schools and hospitals. With a growing, but sustainable budget deficit being planned, government savings will be reduced, which will require more savings to come from the private sector. The extension of banking services to all our people is one important requirement we need to pursue in this regard. A fourth characteristic which fast growing countries have in common is that they fundamentally allow markets to allocate resources. This does not preclude an important role for government, for as we have seen in recent months, markets are also subject to failure, as are governments. Successful countries get the balance right, to have a market discipline on government, and a government discipline on markets. In South Africa, and the North West, markets have not been allowed for much of our history to allocate our most important resources. Under colonialism and apartheid markets played but a superficial role. We therefore still have the legacy of great inequalities in wealth and ownership, which creates barriers to entrepreneurship, barriers to social mobility, and barriers to competition. It is not only high growth that is desirable. What is also desirable is shared growth, or pro-poor growth. It may even be better to grow at 4 per cent, when that growth primarily benefits and uplifts the poor, rather than when we grow at 6 per but and it is only a select few who benefit. Our aim, Honourable
Speaker, in the North West province should be to achieve inclusive
growth. Let us adopt the approach of ‘Leaving
no one behind’ when we design and implement our development
strategies, and when we spend in terms of our Budget. Furthermore, let us today throw down the gauntlet to our partners in the private sector to illustrate to us how they will advance pro-poor growth through their business and investment decisions. Honourable Speaker, the final characteristic which fast growing countries have in common is that they all have committed credible and capable governments. I have been in this government for many years. Therefore I know that our government has a good and committed cadre of public servants, who are servants of the public in commitment and willingness to pursue the public good. This is not to say that there is no room for improvement. We should continue to educate, to train and broadly develop our public sector’s human resources. We should endeavor to attract the brightest and ablest into our public sector, recognize and reward the performance and dedication of our public servants. But we should also weed out corruption and the criminal element from our public sector. We have developed solid policies and procedures, and as custodians of the hard earned money of the citizens of this country, we should continue to protect this from predation by unscrupulous elements who think that the government is a gravy train. Honourable Speaker, let me then say it so that there can be no misunderstanding. This government will not tolerate any corruption and mismanagement of public funds. Thus, Honourable Members, in summary, I believe we can overcome the short-term turmoil in global markets. We have been blessed as a country and province by a number of good years, built on solid macro-economic management. I therefore believe that we have excellent prospects for long-term, sustained growth in the province. The annual provincial budget is designed to address both the short-term needs as well as built towards the long-run development requirements of the province. Budget Framework Honourable Speaker, in my last year’s budget speech I drew the attention of your august house to the negative impact of the dis-establishment of cross boundary municipalities in which the North West Province lost R2 billion on its equitable share. In 2008/09 financial year, the National Treasury updated the equitable share formula by using the 2007 data and increased the equitable share of the North West Province by R232 million, which was included in the Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) tabled in October 2008.
This reduction to the provincial equitable share made the allocation of resources to departments very difficult as serious choices had to be made. The Provincial Treasury and the Budget Oversight Committee worked tirelessly to ensure that available funds are equitably and efficiently allocated to meet both National and Provincial Priorities. Honourable Speaker, our 2009 Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) budget attempted to respond to the National Apex Priorities and the Critical Provincial Priorities. However, I want to stress that given the limited resources it became impossible to address all needs as requested by departments and public entities. SOCIO-ECONOMIC PRIORITIES Poverty Alleviation In 2009 Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) an amount of R331 million has been allocated to fast track the implementation of the poverty alleviation strategy. These funds are to be utilised for training and labour intensive projects, for the emerging contractors to enter the construction industry, and sustain their businesses. The allocation will assist communities to maintain a sustainable livelihood through maintenance of Infrastructure such as schools, hospitals and clinics. These funds are components of the budgets for the departments of Social Development, Public Works, Transport, Roads and Community Safety. The responsible departments will provide details of the allocations when they deliver their budget speeches. Expanded Public Works Programme Honourable Speaker, in contributing to the achievement of the
vision 2014 of halving unemployment, an additional amount of R420
million is set aside over the MTEF for this purpose. Nationally,
through the Expanded Public Works Programme, an Incentive Grant
has been introduced to reward those provinces, municipalities and
Non Government Organisations that create more jobs. It is therefore crucial that the Province take charge of this opportunity and create more jobs above target to qualify for the incentive, which is an increase in budget allocations. The EPWP like in the previous years is mostly targeting women, youth and people with disabilities. The Department of Public Works coordinates all the departments that are involved in infrastructure and training of emerging Small Medium and Micro Enterprises (SMMEs). 2010 FIFA World Cup Honourable Speaker, the Honourable Premier in the state of the province address outlined our commitment to support the Royal Bafokeng Administration and Rustenburg in their endeavour to host the Confederations Cup and 2010 FIFA World Cup. In addition to the funding and participation by departments an amount of R30 million is allocated for the upgrading of Job Tabane Hospital including placement of professional nursing staff. To enhance the marketing and communication of the two competitions a further amount of R5 million has been allocated. CAPACITY BUILDING PRIORITIES Skills development Honourable Speaker, skills development remains key to the development of human capital in government, in order to strengthen the capacity of the state to deliver quality services to our people. Through this development the number of unqualified audit opinions has increased and spending on allocated budgets has improved. The Provincial Administration has allocated an amount of R137
million to sustain and improve the performance and delivery of
services. The budget makes provision for the structured training on project/programme management, monitoring and evaluation, planning, research and knowledge management, information communication technology and financial management to further strengthen the capacity of the state. Scarce skills The Occupational Specific Dispensation (OSD) initiative has worked to retain professionals in government. This initiative applied to professional nurses and educators. It is indeed a good initiative by the government as many professionals are coming back from overseas and private sector to rejoin the public sector. The Occupational Specific Dispensation (OSD) for Doctors and specialists will be implemented during 2009/10 financial year and R210 million is allocated over the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and is aimed towards the retention and increase of doctors and specialists in hospitals. OTHER NATIONAL PRIORITIES Reducing infant and child mortality The rate of infant and child mortality is still at an unacceptable high level. Provision has been made in the budget amounting to R27 million to reduce the infant and child mortality and this amount increases to R56 million over the MTEF. No Fee Schools Honourable Speaker, last year the budget for the additional 716 no-fee schools was presented in your august house. In terms of our records the R135 million budget has been implemented. The budget for the 2009 MTEF includes an amount of R126 million allocated for the extension of the no-fee policy to quintile three (Q3) schools and an amount of R145 million for the expansion of teachers to reduce the teacher/learner ratio in quintile one (Q1) schools. Support to municipalities to improve capacity Honourable Speaker, the financial management capacity of municipalities is improving, though there are still challenges. Provincial Infrastructure Delivery Improvement Programme (IDIP) Honourable Speaker, the Infrastructure Delivery Improvement Programme (IDIP) introduced in conjunction with National Treasury has indeed assisted the province with capacity to integrate planning and the implementation of projects. The expenditure patterns as at January have increased by 7% as compared to last year, as a result of this intervention. An amount of R3.1 billion has been allocated to address infrastructure needs in 2009/10 financial year and increases to R4.1 billion over the MTEF. Honourable Speaker, after having dealt with the budget framework, let me turn to address the departmental budget allocations for 2009/10. Provincial Revenue (Receipts) The available budget for the 2009/10 fiscal year for distribution to departments amounts to R19 866,210 million. The amount is made up of R16 121,174 million received from the National Treasury as the equitable share, R3 160,629 million as conditional grants from various National Departments and Provincial Own Revenue of R584,407 million.
The budget voted for 2009/10 amounts to R19 866,210 million R22 194,744 million for 2010/11 and R24 331,000 million for 2011/12. Funds have been allocated as follows: The Governance and Administrative Cluster receives an amount of R2,080 billion representing 10,5% of the total budget for the 2009/10 financial year. This amount increases to R2,331 billion and R2,706 billion in the outer years of the MTEF.
The Department of Finance receives a total amount of R335,966 million in 2009/10 increasing to R387,166 million and R436,033 million respectively during the outer years of the MTEF. The budget includes additional funds for the implementation of the Basic Accounting System, Procurement Policy Development and for Municipal Support in terms of the Municipal Finance Management Act. Office of the Premier receives a total amount of R261,389 million in 2009/10, increasing to R273,673 million and R290, 013 million during the outer years of the MTEF respectively. The
Provincial Legislature receives R133,282 million. The amount
increases to R124,493 million and R131,938 million during the outer
years of the MTEF. In the main, the allocated budget is for the facilitation of the integrated housing and human settlement development and municipal support. The Economic Development and Infrastructure Cluster The Economic Development and Infrastructure Cluster receives an amount of R3,996 billion which is 20,11% of the total budget for the 2009/10 financial year. The budget increases to R4,224 billion and R4,565 billion over the MTEF period.
The
Department of Transport, Roads and Community Safety receives
an amount of R1 955,799 million in 2009/10, The allocated budget for construction and maintenance of roads is R635,839 million and grows to R757,755 million over the MTEF. The Department of Public Works receives an amount of R653, 214 million in 2009/10, R753, 557 million in 2010/11 and R816, 648 million in 2011/12. An amount of R190,110 million has been allocated for the, maintenance and upgrading of government buildings over the MTEF period. The Department of Agriculture, Conservation and Environment receives an amount of R611,347 million in 2009/10, R670, 466 million in 2010/11 and R740,633 million in 2011/12. An amount of R97 million is included in the allocated budget for the Comprehensive Agricultural Support Programme and for poverty relief and infrastructure development. The Department of Economic Development and Tourism receives an amount of R288,021 million in 2009/10, R312,333 million in 2010/11 and R347,745 million in 2011/12. The allocated budget includes the establishment of SMME’s institutions and the finalisation of the Industrial Development Strategy as a means to increase economic growth.
The allocated budget increased by 37% in 2009/10 due to the allocation of R17 million for the library and archive building and R120 million for the 2009 Confederations Cup and the 2010 FIFA World Cup. SOCIAL CLUSTER The Social Cluster receives an amount of R13,789 billion representing 69,9% of the total budget for the 2009/10 financial year. This amount increases to R15,639 billion in 2009/10 and R17,059 billion in 2011/12. The allocations to departments within this cluster are as follows: The Department of Education receives an amount of R8 145,319 million in 2009/10, R9 223,020 million in 2010/11 and R10 077,609 in 2011/12. The key deliverables for which additional funds were allocated in the budget include the introduction of the school nutrition feeding programme to the poorest high schools, extending the no-fee policy to quintile 3 schools to meet the 60% threshold of the poor learners and building of four new schools. The Department of Health receives an amount of R4 919,308 million in 2009/10, R5 578,772 million in 20010/11 and R6 054,514 million in 2011/12. The Department of Social Development receives an amount of R724,527 million in 2009/10, R837,473 million in 2010/11 and R927,572 million in 2011/12. Key deliverables by the department include the building of secure care and victim empowerment centres and co-ordination of the poverty alleviation strategy. Honourable Speaker, please allow me now to table the following documents: • The
North West Appropriation Bill 2009 Closing Remarks Honorable Speaker, the inspiring new President of the United States, Mr. Barack Obama correctly remarked that:- “If you're walking down the right path and you're willing to keep walking, eventually you'll make progress.” We have to keep walking as a province, because as our budget priorities
also reflect, we are on the right path. Short-term temptations
to deviate from this right path will not take us far. The priorities which we have defined in our budget, and which we have consistently supported through our budget allocations during the past five years, do provide some short-term relief in view of the business cycle, but more fundamentally provide for support for the long-run sustainable – and therefore durable – development of our people. We must keep ‘walking’ by keeping on investing in people, through education, health, safety and security, and through our investments encourage a social and business climate and infrastructure conducive for the creation of jobs and self-reliance. Doing so in a manner that maintains our macro-economic stability
that maintains our flexibility to manoeuvre in times of external
crisis is a prerequisite. Honourable Speaker, there will be a new EXCO in place next term and new insights, but the Provincial Treasury will still be in place as a source of economic and fiscal expertise. Allow me then in my concluding remarks to say the following: Preparing a budget is an extremely laborious task requiring dedication and focussed attention.
Honourable Speaker, I wish to thank the following, whose contribution to this Budget process is immeasurable. - The North West Premier, Mrs BEE Molewa has provided the leadership and good judgement required to bring the budget process to a conclusion; - Our collective thanks are due also to: - Colleagues in the Executive Council for their support; - Honourable Members of this august house for their vigilance; - Mr. Joe Mohlala, Finance Head of Department has led “Team Finance” with dedication and unflagging energy; - Senior Managers and staff in the department for their professionalism; - The Auditor-General and the Provincial Audit Committee whose work has greatly enhanced financial management in government; - Our colleagues in the media for the support and the dissemination of our information in a value adding manner; - The people of the North West Province for holding us accountable. - My sincere gratitude to the political party, which deployed me to contribute in the North West Provincial Government, the invincible titanic African National Congress. - I must also thank Comrade Husband, Dr. Peter Modiselle, my friend, my colleague and family for their unconditional support and inspiration. CONCLUSION Honourable Speaker, this particular budget is being tabled at a time when there is a Global Economic Meltdown. There is even talk of the rich, first world suffering its worst financial collapse since the depression of the 1930s. Emerging economies like ours seemed a long way from the centre of the storm. NO LONGER. The storm has broken, but then there is a Zulu saying, “LIDUMA LIDLULE” The Storm will pass. People of the North West Province, this is your Budget. Ke a leboga [State Of the Province
Address]
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